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. >> the race is as tight as they come. >> this race is absolutely razor tight. >> the look at other national polls confirm it's razor tight. >> we've seen the polls razor tight. >> this race remains razor tight. >> stephen: yes, this race is razor tight. that means no margin for error or correct use of metaphor. i mean it's banana up for grabs. but-- folks every prediction out there, every prediction needs a pooper. in this case, "new york times" polling jedi nate silver who in 2008 correctly predicted 49 out of 50 states. but you know what they say, even a stopped clock is right 98% of the time. the silver's got a computer model that uses petroleum bo jumbo like weighted polling average, trend line adjustment and linear regression analysisment but ignores proven methodologies like flag pin size, handshake strength and intensity of debate glare. and as of tonight, folks, silver is predicting that obama has an 86.3% chance of winning re-election. (cheers and applause) >> stephen: yeah. i don't buy it either. where does he get off predicting something other than the agreed narrative?
. that was a state that the president won in 2008 by less than 30,000 votes. it was razor tight. republicans expected to take indiana back this year. we'll see if they do that, if they do that and what sort of margin. the big one here at 7:00, is virginia. 13 electoral votes. at 7:01 eastern time, literally, 22 minutes and 30 some odd seconds from now you will see various counties and cities in virginia start to fill in. red is republican. blue is democrat. we'll start to get an idea how virginia is shaping up tonight. from the bill/bret board. back to you. >> megyn: bill hemmer at billboard. charles krauthammer coming up in a minute. we have this. >> bret: with the miracle of videotape, i will give you a tour of the fox facilities, really all of them but we start in studio "j," our home base for the evening. this big board is called the launch pad. we have a lot of information on the board throughout the night. you will see in the corner the balance of power, the u.s. senate and u.s. house. we'll have foxnews.com, info. the next poll closings. how close we are to that. over here, a big map
dan ashley. the race is razor tight, the tracking poll of this campaign before election day shows president obama leading romney among likely voters, 50-47 percent. we have karen travers live in chicago, with the latest one day before we vote. >> reporter: good evening. the candidates are wrapping up their final exhausting push to win votes. this race is tight. it is going down to the wire. both campaigns say they have the winning formula. >> are you fired up? [cheering] >> are you ready to go? >> reporter: it was a mad scramble to the financial line. for months, they have been criss-crossing the brattle ground states. tonight, president obama and rim mitt romney were just 10 miles apart in columbus, ohio. >> here's the thing, ohio. we know what change looks like. and what he's tell -- selling ain't it. >> reporter: the president has jay-z. [singing rap] >> reporter: and bruce springsteen. >> i am going to be flying with bruce springsteen on the last camday i will ever campaign. >> reporter: the race has been deadlocked for weeks, but today, the president open up a slim lead in th
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